Matter and Thread aren’t being forced because they think consumers don’t care enough to wait. There are too many people who will just buy “smart” anything, without regard to which proprietary app they need to install.
The market is there. Look at Nanoleaf sales.
Fewer people will get into unraid. Natural churn will happen. The OS will slowly die, and as it dies usability will get worse.
Not many people are going to choose the subscription Linux over a free Linux.